Monday, September 3, 2012

Defining the 2012 Preseason: National Football Conference




With the regular season just a few days from opening, the question many fans around the country are asking is, ‘what do the results from this Preseason mean for my team over the next 17 weeks?’

The answer for each team is very different, so I can’t just make a generalization to deliver to everyone. Instead I will go team-by-team. Due to space I will only be able to dedicate a few sentences to each team so it is my job to provide as much useful, relevant information as possible in a short paragraph.

For each team there are two records in parenthesis. The first is that team’s 2012 Preseason record. The second is my prediction for their record at the end of the 2012 Regular Season.

Yesterday, I covered the AFC. Today my focus shifts to the NFC.

NFC East

Dallas Cowboys (3-1, 9-7)

Dallas truly is the San Diego Chargers of the NFC. The only loss the Cowboys suffered this Preseason was, in fact, to the Chargers. The 3-1 record is a bit less impressive because their wins came against Oakland, St. Louis and Miami. This season is about waiting for December in Dallas.

New York Giants (2-2, 8-8)

The Giants are a good team, and despite the .500 Preseason, they outscored their opponents by 22 points. My prediction has nothing to do with disrespect for the team. The NFC East is likely going to be more competitive this year than it has been since the 2007 season. Also, the Giants show up in the postseason, but the Regular Season has not been their strength in a while. We’ll see if that changes this year.

Philadelphia Eagles (4-0, 11-5)

The Eagles were one of two teams in the NFL that went undefeated in the Preseason. There isn’t much more to say other than that this is a very talented team. Will they mesh better than last year? I think they will, but some aren’t so sure. We will find out soon enough.

Washington Redskins (3-1, 7-9)

Only three teams held their opponents to fewer points this Preseason – the Seahawks (44), the 49ers (53) and the Giants (58). Washington’s one defensive hiccup came against the Bears, and the defense looked particularly atrocious during that game. It will be interesting to see how the first team defense plays over the course of the whole Regular Season. Meanwhile, the offense looks much improved over last year. This team is certainly in contention for the postseason; I just don’t see it happening out of this division.

NFC North

Chicago Bears (3-1, 9-7)

The Bears defense was not all that impressive this Preseason, but other than a single hiccup against the Broncos in the Preseason opener, their offense was very good. Still, despite the 3-1 record, the Bears were outscored by 15 points this August. The Packers were able to win this division with a great offense and terrible defense last year. I don’t think that combination will fly this year.

Detroit Lions (2-2, 11-5)

The Lions had a very easy road this Preseason. Their only game against a team with a winning record in 2011 was their 27-12 victory in Baltimore. Their backups beat Buffalo but both Oakland and Cleveland beat Detroit when their starters got playing time. The Lions had a rough off-season, but I gave them the benefit of the doubt. This is one team I am second-guessing my confidence in.

Green Bay Packers (2-2, 13-3)

Aaron Rodgers actually ran for more touchdowns than he threw for this Preseason. Outside of giving up 35 points to Cleveland, this defense looks much better than they did last year. I also am not worried about the offense. Rodgers can run this offense and if the defense continues to play well, 13 wins is definitely a possibility. However, 11 or 12 victories might be more likely.

Minnesota Vikings (1-3, 7-9)

Minnesota had a touch Preseason schedule. They crushed Buffalo in a game that could have been much closer. The Vikings losses came to San Francisco, San Diego and Houston, all of whom are team that should be playing in January this year. Minnesota has a very strong team this year, no doubt. But this division might not be conducive to a highly successful season.

NFC South

Atlanta Falcons (1-3, 11-5)

I am not so much worried about their loss to Jacksonville; they were expected to win against Miami so that game didn’t impress me. Baltimore beat Atlanta by 14 and the Bengals won by 5. It is difficult to read too much into this Preseason for Atlanta. Matt Ryan actually played very well this preseason. It was mainly the backups who didn’t do so well. I still believe this is an 11-win team, but uncertainty is certainly understandable.

Carolina Panthers (2-2, 8-8)

The Panthers won the games they were supposed to – against the Dolphins and the Jets – and lost to Houston and Pittsburgh. Their loss to Houston was the only game they played where the difference was more than a touchdown. This will be a fun team to watch. It really is just a question of how many games they can get the job done in. But if there is any team that I projected to miss the playoffs that can prove me wrong, Carolina is probably the most likely.

New Orleans Saints (2-3, 9-7)

The Saints three losses came to New England (by one point), Jacksonville (by 3) and Tennessee (by 4). They also beat Arizona and Houston by seven points each. This team might play in more close games than any other team this year. Some people are really upset over the whole bounty thing that came out over the off-season, but it seems more people will be pulling for this team, and I am one of them. We’ll just have to let this season play out.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2, 5-11)

The Bucs offense was very inconsistent and Josh Freeman still isn’t back to the way he played two years ago. I like what Greg Schiano is doing down in Tampa, but I’m not sold on this team.

NFC West

Arizona Cardinals (1-4, 5-11)

The quarterback battle was fought between John Skelton and Kevin Kolb. Skelton won the job to start the Regular Season, but honestly I was more impressed with Richard Bartel despite him only attempting around 20 passes this Preseason.

San Francisco 49ers (3-1, 12-4)

The 49ers played well, but weren’t overly impressive this Preseason. I honestly think 10 wins might be more attainable for San Francisco, especially with a big surprise likely to come out of this division.

Seattle Seahawks (4-0, 4-12)

Did Seattle play anyone I expect much of this season? No. But an undefeated record is tough to ignore. They won their first game by 10 points; they won their second game by 20; then they won game three by 30. The closed the Preseason out with an 18-point win over Oakland. If you have this team’s defense for Fantasy Football, you should be rejoicing. Their offense isn’t bad either. Matt Flynn won’t be their starter, but it’s not because he has underperformed; the team is just that impressed with Russell Wilson, for good reason. I have to rescind my prediction for their season. I actually fully expect this team to make the postseason. It’s just a matter of whether it will be as a wild card or a division winner.

St. Louis Rams (2-2, 5-11)

Sam Bradford appears to be fully recovered from last year and will be a big help to this team in 2012. But I’m still not sold on the Rams. I was not happy when Steve Spagnuolo was let go from the Rams, but Fisher is more than qualified to replace him and I no longer think it was a bone-headed move, though I do find it funny that Fisher now coaches the team that handed him a loss in his only Super Bowl appearance to date. It may be a year or so before he can turn this ship around, though.


Tomorrow I will publish my predictions for the first week of the 2012 Regular Season. Check back then. Thanks for reading!

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