Friday, January 18, 2013

How They Got Here: Atlanta Falcons



As I prepare to make my predictions for the NFC and AFC Championship Games, I am doing a lot of research, most of which will show up in my previews on Saturday. Today and tomorrow, though, I want to look back at how these teams got to this point.

I will do a similar thing for the two Super Bowl teams next week or the week after, but in order to avoid writing the same thing twice, here are excerpts from, and links to, posts I have written this season, all regarding the four remaining teams in the postseason.

Week 1, 40-24 Win at Kansas City Chiefs

Houston was one of the few teams who performed as expected. They won 30-10 against the Dolphins. Atlanta may have outperformed expectations. Matt Ryan led all quarterbacks in fantasy points on Sunday in leading his Falcons to a 40-24 win in Kansas City as Tony Gonzalez had his first touchdown catch in Kansas City since his days as a Chief.

Week 2, 27-21 Win vs Denver Broncos


Week 3, 27-3 Win at San Diego Chargers

Matt Ryan continues to shine as the Falcons beat the Chargers in similar fashion, 27-3. Ryan was 30/40 for 275 yards, 3 touchdown passes, and just his first interception of the season. A week after being arrested for a DUI after playing the Broncos, Michael Turner was back and carried the ball 14 times for 80 yards and a score.

Philip Rivers meanwhile continues to struggle early in the season. He threw for under 200 yards and after picking off Peyton Manning three times last week the Falcons defense picked Rivers off twice in San Diego.

Week 4, 30-28 Win vs Carolina Panther

The game FOX switched to was Carolina at Atlanta, and boy was I glad they did when the game ended. It was a battle to the end, but Matt Ryan kept his cool and delivered some nice passes, trusting his receivers to make acrobatic catches and dumping passes off when he looked certain to be sacked. The game winning drive, capped by Matt Bryant’s 40-yard game-winning field goal, was one of the most exciting finishes I had seen up that that point this season.

Week 5, 24-17 Win at Washington Redskins

Atlanta and Washington played one of the more exciting games of the day. Washington had their best defensive game of the season, and it came against one of the best offenses in the NFC. For once it was their offense that struggled at times, especially on third down. Robert Griffin III went down in the third quarter with a concussion (the Redskins could be in trouble about how they reported it, though) and Kirk Cousins came in and threw a 77-yard touchdown pass for his first career touchdown. He struggled afterwards, mostly due to a worn-out offensive line not giving him time to set, and threw two interceptions that kept a possible comeback from forming. Atlanta is now 5-0 for the first time in franchise history and the Redskins have lost 8 consecutive home games. They play Minnesota at home next week.

Week 6, 23-20 Win vs Oakland Raiders

Week 6 was a week of surprises, upsets, and failed expectations. Atlanta barely stayed undefeated against Oakland, the Cowboys’ poor time management may have cost them a win in Baltimore, Cleveland kicked the winless bucket and the Jets made it difficult to call their rout of Indianapolis a fluke.

Week 7, Bye

Week 8, 30-17 Win at Philadelphia Eagles

One streak had to end, and it was not Atlanta’s run at an unbeaten season. Andy Reid is now 13-1 coming off a bye after the Falcons trounced his Eagles in Philadelphia. The 30-17 score is much closer than the game itself was. But people calling for Michael Vick’s head, STOP! Philadelphia’s defense did not get a stop until the 4th quarter. That’s not something you can overcome.

Week 9, 19-13 Win vs Dallas Cowboys

The late game featured Dallas in Atlanta to take on the last unbeaten team in the NFL this season. The numbers were fairly similar, but I really felt like Tony Romo outplayed Matt Ryan and it took a little luck for the Falcons to remain undefeated with the 19-13 win. Right now, the biggest problem for Dallas is the running game, or lack of one. They need DeMarco Murray back. With him, this is a completely different team, one that doesn’t need Romo to throw as much and, therefore, can deal with a little bit of inconsistency from him.

Week 10, 27-31 Loss at New Orleans Saints

The Saints barely held off the Falcons in the Superdome, but barely or not, a win is a win and when it comes against an undefeated division opponent as you try to keep your season alive, no win is bigger. The Saints have to be excited after that win and anybody left on their schedule should be very nervous. I don’t think it will actually happen, but an undefeated run to close the season would not shock me.

Week 11, 23-19 Win vs Arizona Cardinals

In just one game, Matt Ryan took himself out of the MVP race. Atlanta held off the Cardinals, 23-19, but the fact that the Falcons could win a game in which their quarterback threw five interceptions goes to show that Atlanta is not relying completely on their ‘star’ under center.

Week 12, 24-23 Win at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The other game that I picked wrong was Atlanta at Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers kept it close and probably deserved to win the game, but the Falcons have won games they should have lost all year and that is why they are still sitting pretty at 10-1.

Week 13, 23-13 Win vs New Orleans Saints


Week 14, 20-30 Loss at Carolina Panthers

Sunday’s early games saw several unexpected results. They also lent insight into what we may see in the postseason. The Falcons and Bears both lost to lesser division opponents Carolina and Minnesota. Pittsburgh, who seemed to be right back in the playoff picture, suffered an upset and major setback against San Diego, helped only by Cincinnati’s late collapse against Dallas and a mind-blowing comeback by the Redskins at home against Baltimore.

Week 15, 34-0 Win vs New York Giants

The Giants had not been held scoreless in more than 15 years until the Falcons, the Falcons, did just that yesterday. After Atlanta’s 34-0 route of the defending Super Bowl champions, the first home win against such an opponent in Matt Ryan’s career, I am left to guess whether the game did more to answer questions about the Falcons or raise questions about the Giants.

I’ll cop out and say it was a little of both. This game said a lot about the Falcons character. It remains to be seen what that would count for in the playoffs, but this was an important statement for them to make. New York, on the other hand, has been back and forth the past five weeks and even a bounce-back game against Baltimore next Sunday will do little to immediately answer questions about them.

Week 16, 31-18 Win at Detroit Lions


Week 17, 17-22 Loss vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

It was a long Sunday with all sixteen games played yesterday. The Buccaneers snapped a five-game losing streak by winning their season finale. After being in playoff contention in early December, they dropped way out but really knocked around the Falcons in Week 17. With the NFC South clinched, Atlanta still played their starters and suffered injuries to two defensive leaders. Hopefully neither is significant.

Wild-Card Playoffs, Bye

Divisional Playoffs, 30-28 Win vs Seattle Seahawks



Tune in to The All-Sports Crew today at 5 p.m. on WMUC Sports to hear my Divisional Round predictions. Tomorrow I will publish my previews of both Conference Championship games.

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