Friday, January 18, 2013

How They Got Here: New England Patriots



As I prepare to make my predictions for the NFC and AFC Championship Games, I am doing a lot of research, most of which will show up in my previews on Saturday. Today and tomorrow, though, I want to look back at how these teams got to this point.

I will do a similar thing for the two Super Bowl teams next week or the week after, but in order to avoid writing the same thing twice, here are excerpts from, and links to, posts I have written this season, all regarding the four remaining teams in the postseason.

Week 1, 34-13 Win at Tennessee Titans

The Vikings beat Jacksonville 26-23 in the season’s first overtime game; Mark Sanchez threw 3 touchdowns as his Jets routed the Bills 48-28; and Tom Brady injured his nose but still led the Patriots to a win in Tennessee as Chris Johnson ran for only 4 yards in the game (Peyton Manning ran for more than that in Sunday’s late game!).

Week 2, 18-20 Loss vs Arizona Cardinals

I ranted about the replacement officials the next day and didn’t touch this game. Just know that the Patriots should be embarrassed to have lost to Arizona, despite their 4-0 start.

Week 3, 30-31 Loss at Baltimore Ravens

The Sunday Night game was interesting. There were a lot of penalties, but the game moved at a quick enough pace that it didn’t lose my interest like many games over the past two weeks have.

Of course, the story of the night was Ravens receiver, and Maryland grad, Torrey Smith, who played despite his younger brother Tevin being killed in a motorcycle accident early in the day. Smith had 6 catches for 127 yards and two scores.

Flacco played well, as did Ray Rice. Baltimore’s defense, as always, was strong. But the Patriots did not look very good on offense. Brady had a decent second half as New England finally got Wes Welker involved in their game plan, but Brady has not looked like Brady this year when he’s throwing to just about anyone else.

With little time remaining, the Ravens were in range for a 27-yard field goal try. Last year Billy Cundiff missed a 32-yard field goal that gave New England the AFC Championship and a Super Bowl bid. This year, rookie Justin Tucker was the man to try and give Baltimore the win. His kicked sailed high over the uprights, but the official beneath said it went directly over, which constitutes a successful field goal attempt. The kick gave the Ravens a 31-30 victory and a 2-1 record.

New England drops to 1-2 with the loss. Their streak of consecutive games played without being below .500 ends at 145, a streak that spanned nine seasons. In 2003 they lost their season opener, 31-0 against the Chiefs. After that they won two straight games, lost to the Redskins, then did not lose again as they went on to win the Super Bowl against the Carolina Panthers.

Week 4, 52-28 Win at Buffalo Bills

I was tuned in to FOX yesterday at 1:00 o’clock, only occasionally flipping over to CBS for the Bills/Patriots game. That game reminded me of too many instances last year when a team like Buffalo would play a fantastic first half against the Patriots, holding them defensively and taking advantage of all their opponents’ mistakes in order to generate points of their own, then let it all slip away in the second half. New England scored 45 points in the second half of their 52-28 victory over the Bills, the most second-half points scored in an NFL game in four decades.

Week 5, 31-21 Win vs Denver Broncos

The game of the week for many of us, myself included, was the Broncos-Patriots game in New England. On Denver’s first drive, Manning lofted a perfect pass to Demaryius Thomas, which he caught then fumbled. New England took over and turned the takeaway into a touchdown. Manning drove Denver back down the field to tie the score on their ensuing drive, but the Broncos’ offense stalled after that.

New England took off and led 31-7 in the 3rd quarter. Manning led a furious comeback against a defense that was somewhere between a standard Belichick defense and a prevent scheme. Despite the secondary being backed up a bit, Manning still threw fantastic passes over the top and found receivers deep. When they couldn’t get over top, Manning still found ways to get them the ball on ‘go’ routes. It wasn’t enough, however, when a fumble by Willis McGahee deep in Patriots territory late in the 4th quarter ended all hope of a full comeback. New England held on, 31-21 in yet another epic Manning v. Brady/Belichick battle. Brady is now 9-4 all-time in their matchups.

Week 6, 23-24 Loss at Seattle Seahawks

For that [4-way divisional] tie to be, New England had to lose in Seattle, and lose they did. Up 23-10 in the final quarter, there was no way New England should have expected to lose. Seattle started with a 5-play, 83-yard drive that capped with a 10-yard touchdown strike from Russell Wilson to Braylon Edwards. Still, New England felt like they had control of the game. Seattle got the ball back, but went 3-and-out. Then they stopped New England again and Seattle went on a 4-play touchdown drive ending with a 46-yard pass from Wilson to Sidney Rice.

Week 7, 29-26 Win vs New York Jets

The game I got to watch was, thankfully, the good one. As always, the Jets proved that Rex Ryan builds his team specifically for this matchup. It hasn’t worked consistently against anyone but New England. The Patriots escaped. Giants’ players said that’s how they felt against RGIII and the Redskins, and the Patriots should feel the same way about the Jets. Mark Sanchez played a really good game, but a couple key drops killed drives and kept New York from putting the game out of reach. Predictably, the Jets held a lead late in the fourth quarter and Tom Brady let his team on a drive to a game-tying field goal. As in Oakland, an overtime field goal gave the home team the victory.

Week 8, 45-7 Win at St. Louis Rams in Wembley

The Patriots came off the close win with their first win over an NFC West opponent this season. After losses to Arizona and Seattle, they scored touchdowns on each of their first five drives and rode that to a 45-7 victory over the Rams, who were playing as the home team in this year’s edition of the NFL’s Europe series.

Week 9, Bye

Week 10, 37-31 Win vs Buffalo Bills

Last time the Patriots and Bills met, it was a typical Patriots/Bills matchup. Buffalo held a lead for a while, looked like they would finally knock off New England, and suddenly Tom Brady and Co. took off. This time, Buffalo was around to the end, but an interception in the end zone by Ryan Fitzpatrick sealed Buffalo’s fate as they lost 37-31 in New England.

Week 11, 59-24 Win vs Indianapolis Colts

As big a win as [the Saints’] was, it was nothing compared to the 59-24 route in New England. Indianapolis kept the game close early but a punt return touchdown and two pick-sixes were enough by themselves to keep New England in it. Of course, that wasn’t all they had as the offense contributed early and poured it on late. If only the Patriots had stopped pouring it on one score earlier. After their final touchdown of the game, on the extra point try, Rob Gronkowski, easily a top 2 Tight End in the league and probably the better of the two (sorry Jimmy Graham), broke his arm. He had surgery today and expects to be out four to six weeks. He thinks he’ll be back in time for the team’s playoff push. In the mean time, I’m just glad I have Graham and not Gronk on my fantasy team.

Week 12, 49-19 Win at New York Jets

The late game was interesting for about five minutes, during which the Patriots scored 28 points to take a 28-0 lead after going into the first quarter break tied at 0-0. The second half was kind of boring with no more exciting plays to speak of.

The slaughter began deep in Patriots territory, when Mark Sanchez threw pass that was undercut by a safety and taken the distance. A couple minutes later, the Patriots had the ball at their 17-yard line and nobody covered Shane Vereen on a swing route and he caught a pass from Brady and took it 83 yards to the house. A minute or so later, Mark Sanchez made a huge mistake by turning the wrong way on a handoff, tried to run with the ball, slammed into his lineman’s rear end, and fumbled the ball when he hit the ground. That turnover was taken the distance. On the ensuing kickoff, Joe McKnight fumbled directly into the hands of Julian Edelman who took it to the end zone.

It was the most bizarre five minutes of football I’ve ever seen, but not nearly as bizarre as the Jets’ meltdown was hilarious.

The Jets build their team to beat the Patriots, and they have now lost four consecutive games to their rivals. If they can’t even beat the team that they focus on throughout the offseason, how do they expect to ever make the playoffs?

Week 13, 23-16 Win at Miami Dolphins

Tom Brady didn’t look great, but he got the job done in Miami with the help of a good ground attack from Stevan Ridley and Danny Woodhead. Miami did a great job of getting pressure on Brady, but a late time-killing drive was the dagger as New England clinched the AFC East division title, it’s ninth in the last ten years.

Week 14, 42-14 Win vs Houston Texans

After a Sunday of fairly boring games – even the Packers/Lions ordeal lacked a certain level of excitement for me – I had hoped that the Monday Night game on ESPN would reveal itself as Week 14’s true game of the week.

Instead the Patriots scored on each of their first three drives while their often-struggling defense shut down Arian Foster and contained the Texans’ passing attack. Houston’s defense settled down and kept New England from scoring on their next four drives, but their offense had no such luck. The Patriots did get things rolling again later and eventually finished with 42 points against arguably the best overall defense in the NFL.

Tom Brady threw for 4 touchdowns and no interceptions and has now done so twice more than any quarterback in NFL history and he did so on fewer than 300 passing yards, a testament to a better rushing attack than we’ve seen from New England in recent years. Brady also tied former Chiefs great Len Dawson for the most starts at quarterback resulting in 40 or more points, an impressive feat for Dawson to have his name anywhere near considering he threw for fewer than 30,000 yards in his 19-year career.

Week 15, 34-41 Loss vs San Francisco 49ers

The late game was just odd, and a second-half hissy fit by Tom Brady really caused me to lose interest in the game. I, of course, didn’t stop watching, but it just didn’t feel like football. Tantrums are barely okay on the sidelines, but it’s just unprofessional and childish on the field, especially when you’re wrong.

Anyway, a 21-point deficit entering the fourth quarter proved to be just too much for the Patriots to overcome. They tied the game up, but a couple more scored by the 49ers made it a successful road trip for San Francisco. The Patriots are now at a disadvantage in their search for a first-round bye and will likely have to play two road games to reach the Super Bowl.

Week 16, 23-16 Win at Jacksonville Jaguars

Tom Brady played awful early and at one point was 9/18 with no scores and 2 interceptions, letting Jacksonville lead early. He cleaned it up after that, though it was surprising not to see the Patriots run away with is like they usual do after poor starts to games. Brady finished with two touchdown passes in New England’s 23-16 win in Jacksonville.

Week 17, 28-0 Win vs Miami Dolphins

While Denver was romping Kansas City, New England was doing the same to a division opponent of their own in a 28-0 thrashing of the Dolphins. Miami had a decent year and will look to improve on it with a young quarterback who had enough good and bad games this season that he will learn anything he needs to in order to improve next year.

Wild-Card Playoffs, Bye

Divisional Playoffs, 41-28 Win vs Houston Texans



Tune in to The All-Sports Crew today at 5 p.m. on WMUC Sports to hear my Divisional Round predictions. Tomorrow I will publish my previews of both Conference Championship games.

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