Friday, January 17, 2014

Eric’s Picks, 2014 Conference Championships


Eric Meyer

It’s Championship Sunday and I can proudly say that I called it! My preseason prediction was that San Francisco, the 5 seed, would travel to Seattle, the 1 seed, and that New England as a 2 seed would travel to top-seeded Denver.

In the preseason, I predicted that the Patriots and 49ers would pull the upsets and meet in the Super Bowl. Now? Well, you can read and find out whether I’m sticking to those August predictions.

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos

Brady and Manning. Manning and Brady. You could go back and forth all day like a Bugs and Daffy cartoon. The NFL’s greatest quarterbacks of this generation will square off for the fifteenth time, with Brady’s team winning ten out of the previous fourteen matchups. But I’m not going to talk about who’s better, because ultimately it’ll come down to who has the better team, not the better quarterback.

The key to this game for me is New England’s rushing attack. Denver was able to shut down San Diego’s running backs last week, but Ryan Mathews was hurt and the Patriots have LeGarrette Blount, Stevan Ridley and Shane Vereen all healthy and ready to go. Denver has their own reliable rushing attack, but their offense very clearly runs through Manning, and if New England can get stops on him they’ll be in the driver’s seat.

It sounds strange to say, but Denver must make Brady beat them. Brady’s passing attack this year has been slowed by countless injuries and maybe a few murders. While I wouldn’t count out Tom Brady in any game with any group of players, I also know that Denver cannot let him become a complimentary piece to the offense.

Brady is the best I’ve ever seen in the “game manager” role. He won’t make mistakes and he’ll make all the plays necessary on third downs to keep the chains moving. If the running game is working, that will be more than enough. If not, he’ll have to match Manning point for point. That would be okay if Brady had some high-quality receivers, but he doesn’t and Manning does, which means that getting into a passing show would be a dubious proposition at best.

Expect another classic, but I think New England will get the running game going and advance to their 6th Super Bowl this century.

Eric’s Pick: Patriots beat Broncos, 34-27.


San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

It’s the rubber match! In what is turning out to be the best rivalry in the NFL right now, the 49ers and Seahawks will meet again after splitting their two regular season matchups. Seattle blew out San Francisco in Week 2, but San Francisco got its revenge at home by edging Seattle in Week 14. Can San Francisco get over the hump and exorcise their CenturyLink Field demons?

No, they cannot. I can understand why people give the 49ers a shot in this game. They play great defense and Colin Kaepernick is showing to be a pretty good playoff performer. What I don’t understand is why the spread is only 3.5 points in favor of the Seahawks and why so many people think San Francisco will win this game.

Seattle has absolutely dominated San Francisco at home the previous two games they have played, and if you don’t think that the 12th Man will be as raucous as ever in the most important home game in franchise history, you’re crazy.

Seattle has the formula against San Francisco. Regardless of their struggles in the passing game, Seattle can still put up points by forcing turnovers, relying on Beast Mode, and letting Russell Wilson make plays with his legs. The defense is a dominant unit and they will shut down all of the 49ers’ receiving weapons, including Vernon Davis. This is the best defense in the league without a shadow of a doubt, and they’ll show it on Sunday. I think this game ends in a romp.

Eric’s Pick: Seahawks beat 49ers, 34-10.

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